Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds: 2022 NBA Playoff Picks, Model Game 5 Best Bets on 86-58 Run

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the FedEx Forum to face the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday night. They face each other in Game 5 of a best-of-seven first-round showdown in the 2022 NBA Playoffs with the series tied at 2-2. Minnesota kept the serve at home in Game 4, effectively narrowing the series to a best-of-three showdown against the second-place Grizzlies. The Wolves reported no injuries in Game 5, with the Grizzlies listing Santi Aldama (knee) and Killian Tillie (back) as out.

Tipoff is at 7:30 pm ET in Memphis. Caesars Sportsbook lists Memphis as the six-point favorite at home, while the over-under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 232.5 at the latest Grizzlies vs Timberwolves odds. Before making any choice between Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies, you need to see NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on their top NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2022 NBA Playoffs with an impressive 86-58 all-NBA Top Picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone who follows him has had big returns.

Now, the model has its sights set on Wolves vs. Grizzlies, and just blocked their NBA playoff picks and predictions. You can go to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Wolves vs. Grizzlies:

  • Spreading Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: Grizzlies -6
  • Grizzlies vs Timberwolves over-under: 232.5 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Money Line Timberwolves: Grizzlies -260, Wolves +210
  • MIN: Wolves are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-5-1 against the spread in the last 10 games

featured game | Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Why Timberwolves Can Cover

Timberwolves are multifaceted and effective at both ends of the floor. Minnesota ranked 7th in the NBA in offensive ratings during the regular season, scoring nearly 1.14 points per possession. The Wolves are very strong on offensive glass, securing 28.4% missed shots, and that leads to 14.8 second-chance points per game, a figure in the top five in the NBA. Minnesota also ranked in the league’s top 10 for free throw creation, assists per game, breakout points per game, and assist rate, and no NBA team has scored 3 more points (14.8 per game) than Wolves this season.

Minnesota, on the other hand, counts on creating havoc, and the Wolves finished above the NBA average by allowing just 1.11 points per possession. Minnesota led the league in turnover creation (16.3 per game) during the regular season, ranking in the NBA’s top three in steals (8.8 per game) and blocks (5.6 per game). Wolves also allowed only 35.0% 3-point shooting for opponents in the regular season sample of 82 games.

Why Grizzlies Can Cover

The Grizzlies are deep and talented, with defense leading the way in this series. Memphis are holding Minnesota with 107.3 points per 100 possessions in four games, and the Grizzlies were sixth in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season. Memphis allowed just 108.9 points per 100 possessions in 82 games, and the Grizzlies led the league in steals (9.8 per game) and blocks (6.5 per game). The Grizzlies were No. 3 in creating turnovers (15.1 per game), with the top 10 marks in shooting allowed percentage and allowed 2-point percentage.

Memphis is facing a Minnesota defense that was in the NBA’s top five in defensive rebound rate, free throw prevention, and assists allowed in 2021-22, and the Grizzlies led the league in offensive rebound rate, second-chance points per game, quick break points per game, and paint points per game. In all, Memphis was one of the top five offensive teams in the NBA during the regular season, with marks strongly above average in free throw creation, assists, assist rate and turnover rate.

How to make choices Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

The SportsLine model is angled over the total, projecting 232 points combined. The model also says that one side of the spread reaches more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s NBA playoff picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Wolves vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread reaches more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Wolves vs. Grizzlies you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that crushed your NBA picks, and find out.

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